Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.001552 0.001649 0.001750 0.001862 0.001983 0.002110 0.002253
2025-02-02 0.001436 0.001578 0.001730 0.001906 0.002105 0.002324 0.002583
2025-02-09 0.001351 0.001522 0.001711 0.001937 0.002202 0.002503 0.002873
2025-02-16 0.001317 0.001514 0.001740 0.002016 0.002350 0.002741 0.003241
2025-02-23 0.001248 0.001460 0.001706 0.002016 0.002399 0.002861 0.003466
2025-03-02 0.001160 0.001375 0.001630 0.001958 0.002370 0.002879 0.003562
2025-03-09 0.001092 0.001311 0.001575 0.001919 0.002361 0.002917 0.003682
2025-03-16 0.001049 0.001274 0.001550 0.001915 0.002393 0.003007 0.003871
2025-03-23 0.001001 0.001230 0.001512 0.001893 0.002399 0.003061 0.004012
2025-03-30 0.000963 0.001195 0.001485 0.001881 0.002417 0.003130 0.004175
2025-04-06 0.000923 0.001155 0.001449 0.001855 0.002413 0.003168 0.004295
2025-04-13 0.000883 0.001114 0.001410 0.001824 0.002400 0.003192 0.004394
2025-04-20 0.000824 0.001049 0.001340 0.001752 0.002334 0.003145 0.004401
2025-04-27 0.000813 0.001047 0.001354 0.001797 0.002434 0.003343 0.004787
2025-05-04 0.000798 0.001038 0.001358 0.001827 0.002513 0.003514 0.005144
2025-05-11 0.000798 0.001050 0.001392 0.001900 0.002660 0.003793 0.005690
2025-05-18 0.000774 0.001028 0.001376 0.001900 0.002696 0.003905 0.005975
2025-05-25 0.000735 0.000982 0.001324 0.001846 0.002647 0.003881 0.006031
2025-06-01 0.000703 0.000947 0.001287 0.001810 0.002624 0.003896 0.006152
2025-06-08 0.000684 0.000928 0.001271 0.001806 0.002651 0.003991 0.006418
2025-06-15 0.000661 0.000902 0.001245 0.001785 0.002648 0.004039 0.006602
2025-06-22 0.000641 0.000882 0.001227 0.001775 0.002662 0.004112 0.006837
2025-06-29 0.000620 0.000857 0.001200 0.001751 0.002652 0.004145 0.006999